PICK OF THE DAY
Rochdale - Charlton
Tip : 1
Odd : 2.20
FT : 1:0 WIN!!!
After Plymouth loss last round, Charlton all but secure play-off spot and have little to play for here. The result means seventh-placed Plymouth would need a seven-goal swing to eclipse the Addicks’ goal difference on the final day of the season. It’s hard to imagine (especially in England) with Plymouth winning just of last 5 matches scoring 3 goals in a process and with a lot of key players missing due to injury. Also Plymouth will play away from home.
Rochdale is in a must win situation to have chances for survival. They trail 1 point from 20th placed Oldham who has away game vs Northampton. Rochdale will welcome back top scorer I. Henderson (A 38/13).
Charlton missing important player T. Fosu (M 30/9, 2nd top-scorer) and C. Solly (D 27/0).
Rochdale must win here to have some chances for survival and with Charlton likely to have an eye on upcoming play-off fixtures I expect home win.
Frankfurt - Hamburg
Tip : 2
Odd : 4.00
FT : 3:0 Lost
Eintracht Frankfurt’s fall from grace continued with a 4-1 defeat at the Allianz Arena against Bayern Munich last weekend. Though the fans might be starting to feel some frustration at their league performances, Eintracht surprised many by beating Schalke a few weeks back to seal their place in the DFB Pokal final, so it’s possible that their focus might now be on winning their first piece of silverware since 1988 (also the German cup). There, boss Niko Kovac will face his future employers, Bayern Munich, and all would be forgiven for this end of season slump if he can pull a result out the bag in that crucial cup final.
Hamburg’s energetic 3-1 victory on the road to Wolfsburg last weekend – a third win in four matches (W3 L1) – has the ever-present Bundesliga side suddenly dreaming of a miraculous escape from relegation. Hamburg head into the weekend just two points behind Wolfsburg and the relegation play-off spot with two matches to go. “Der HSV” are further boosted by goalkeeper Julian Pollersbeck’s recent performances since taking over the #1 position back in March. And though midfielder Lewis Holtby scored his 5th of the season in last weekend’s match – his fourth in five outings – coach Christian Titz continued to praise forward Bobby Wood’s contribution, who’s expected to keep his place in the starting XI.
So what’s worth backing here? Well, in terms of betting, there looks to be some huge value in the visitors. Christian Titz looks to have found the right formula since taking over at the club six matches back, with the removal of then core players Walace and Mavraj (see team news) whipping others into shape. Hamburg have been in their best scoring form all season over the past few weeks – “der HSV” are averaging two goals per game over their last four in the Bundesliga, a rate on par with those around the top of the table – and it’s easy to see how that has built their confidence on the pitch. Players that have been under-performing are suddenly working just that little bit harder, and their 11 match winless run against Frankfurt (D5 L6) should only spur them on more.
It would be an understatement to say that Frankfurt’s form has taken a tumble, and the side that gave teams like RB Leipzig (a 2-1 win) and Borussia Monchengladbach (a 2-0 win) a run for their money earlier this year is now losing to teams on a similar level to Hamburg. Kovac’s men have lacked that same composure at the back and their stellar 2018 home record was brought to an end against an average Hertha Berlin side last time out at the Commerzbank Arena. It’s almost as if Frankfurt look to have given up on their league campaign. The Eagles have hit an awful end of season slide, losing their last three games by exactly three goals, and with Hamburg very much focused in the fight for survival, you have to fancy their chances. Our prediction: a 2-0 Hamburg win.
Venezia - Foggia
Tip : 1
Odd : 1.90
FT : 2:1 WIN!!!
Players of Venezia weren't favorites to reach the direct promotion for many rounds, but the way they play at the moment I really must say it won't be susprise in the end if they come really close.With three rounds till the end, they stand at fifth position and are three points short of second placed Parma.
Even if it's not very likely, no doubt that the team will want to secure as high as possible position before the play-off starts. They come from fourth consecutive victory and are currently the most in-form side beating Pro Vercelli away from home last Tuesday evening with a 2:0 result. The game itself wasn't that one sided one, with the hosts having more of the ball possession but their chances weren't as concrete as it should be.
On the other side, it looked like players of Venezia always knew what they wanted on the field, taking the lead via Marsura a bit against the flow of the match in 32nd minute. Things got bit calmer in the second halftime as they doubled up the lead in 77th minute via Stulac.
Being on a four games winning run and playing at home, there's no other target but a three pointer for them here.
Foggia, on the other side, comes from a 2:1 victory at home against Spezia - their first three pointer after three negative consecutive results. It was a fully deserved victory for the hosts as they limited the opponent to a pretty defensive role even though the ball possession was equally shared.
They were better in the first halftime and took the lead in 28th minute via Floriano, while the dominance was especially obvious in second halftime when it was easier for them to play and threaten via counter attacks. Tonucci doubled up in 82nd minute while the guests were able to reduce the deficit three minutes later via Marilungo without threatening further.
The team now stands at ninth position at the table having five points less than eight and play-off placed Perugia. That means that their chances are really slim of getting into the play-offs, but if the team is to make it they surely need a victory here and a lot of risking.
Venezia seems really strong at the moment and have no problem converting their chances into goals. Foggia isn't a bad side, however they have many issues at the back all season long and now when they'll need to risk I can't see them walking away with something against very quality offensive lineup of Venezia. Side that anyway stand much more firm in the defense.
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