Estoril - Benfica
Tip : 3+ (over 2.5)
Odd : 1.80
FT : 1:2 WIN!!!
Estoril is probably the team that plays the most attractive soccer in the Portuguese league nowadays. They are a very organized squad with an excellent coach and they always show a very attacking style especially at home. Last year they were the most “overish” team at home in Portugal. They have played 3 matches at home this season and 2 of them went over (3-1 and 2-2). They have played on Thursday an intense match in Czech Republic for the EL but same happened also in the week before they faced Porto at home and they managed to deliver a great performance on the weekend drawing 2-2. They have nothing to lose and I don’t expect them to have a defensive attitude as they showed already this year that against stronger teams such as Sevilla and Porto they aren’t afraid to go forward. LB Babanco who got injured last week against Olhanense is expected to return. There is some slight knocks on several players but in the end coach Silva should have almost a full squad to choose from with the exception of winger Carlitos.
For Benfica is a now or never game. After a bad start of the season in national league with already 2 draws and one defeat, this past Wednesday in CL they were completely outplayed and humiliated by PSG. There is a lot of pressure for the coach Jesus who will definitely make some changes in the team. DM Fejsa is injured so Enzo Perez will probably shift from the right wing to the centre of the field with Matic playing at DM. It is also expected that Lima will pair up with Cardozo upfront. In other words next Sunday Benfica will look much more as the last year’s team both in the starting XI and the tactical scheme. Last year 73% of Benfica’s away matches went also over the 2,5 goal line.
Benfica hasn’t played anywhere near their full potential this season and this is a must-win game for them so they will surely attack from the very first beginning with Estoril prepared to fight back. Last year’s match between these teams ended up with 1-3 and I expect once again a very entertaining match with offensive mentality from both sides. My call: 1-2
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