PREMIUM TIPS NOVEMBER

Pick # 17 (6-4-6) +10 units

 

Malaga - Villareal

Tip : 3+ (over 2.5)

Odd : 2.10

Bookmaker : Pinnalce

FT : 2:1 WIN!!!

 

This match smell on goals to me... I couldn't watch statisctis for this match and not to notice one thing, Villareal scored only 1 goal away from home this season, and conceded 10 ?! Fact is that they are worst team if you look in that parameter. Malaga is favourite in this match, they have good team, true  is that they have some missings tonight but they had all of them  in few previous rounds and show good football taking 7 from posible 9pts in last three rounds. I was looking to right info is Rossi back to team or not, as there are diferenet infos on some forums, but I think that he will be in team tonight and that's great news for Yellow Sumbarine. They also showed some improvement in last few rounds and I expect much better match from them. I see this like very open game with a lot of chances and goals, I dont think that Malaga will win no metter Villareal have so much missings, (Nilmar, Cani, Javier Camunas, Cristian Zapata, Jose Catala and Gerard Bordas ) but I think both teams will score, and not just once, my call is 2:2. GL!

Pick #16 (4-4-6) -140 units

Siena - Inter

Tip : 2

Odd : 2.50

Bookmaker : Pinnacle

FT : 0:1 WIN!!!

If Inter wants to stay in the game for the title there is no other result but a win for them, if they lose they will be 14 points below the leaders Juventus and only one above the relegation zone. Very crucial game for Ranieri's team and despite the injuries of Sneijder, Maicon, Forlan, Muntari and Viviano, they have the quality to surpass the resistance of Siena. With only eleven points in ten games this game looks like an early final for the title run. And with qualification for the next round of Champions league guaranteed with a fixture to spare, it only remains for them to become more competitive domestically. SIena on the other hand have only lost once in the Artemio Franchi stadium this season and have drawn once as well, they are expected to be very tight in the defense and with Destro injured and Calaio as well, they will not be able to score very easily. Overall Inter will take the three points, it's a game of life or death for them, and with Siena missing their best forwards there will be one side attacking. Pick Inter @ 2.50

Pick #14 (5-4-4) + 60 units

Sportul - Vaslui

Tip : 2

Odd : 1.80

Bookmaker : Landbrokes

FT : 1:0 Lost 

Clear AW on this match...Vaslui managed to grab the win in last round in 93th minute against Pandurii Tg.Jiu and keep their fight for the first places as have 7 and 8 points fewer then first two places. Sportul Studentesc added another defeat, the 7th defeat from this season, this time at Galati and it seems that they will have to pray that one of the team that will finish above the relegation line will have license problems in order to keep their place in this competition. Without money and with questionable players present in the team home side will put all their hopes in the guests to have a miserable day or to think more on the next week game against Sporting Lisabona because the value is on the guests and I expect them to confirm that by winning their 4th match away from home. Odd already started to drop so take it until it gone above 1.70

Pick #15 

Sunderland - Wigan

Tip : 1

Odd : 1.80

Bookmaker :  Landbrokes

FT : 1:2 Lost 

I said last week that Steve Bruce is coming under real pressure and after failing to beat Fulham at home this is a real must-win game. I hate to use that phrase but you just feel that this is three points that Bruce has to pick up. Another bad result and he may not be in charge much longer. A win would put Wigan even further out of reach which is the way Sunderland are having to look at the moment. Since Roberto Martinez has been in charge at Wigan they have played some great football but defensively they are too easy to score against. They are the type of team who can play really well for half an hour and leave you wondering how they are bottom of the league, and then they capitulate in a few minutes to leave it blatantly obvious. It's a defining game for Sunderland and I think they will win.

Pick #13 (5-4-3) +160units

Standard - Mechelen

Tip : H1 (-1.5)

Odd : 2.20

Bookmaker : Pinnacle

FT : 3:2 Lost

One thing is clear in this match, Standard will win, no doubt in that, but we will do with handicap. Standard is in excelent form, they play excelent footbal this season. They have record at home 6-1-0 and goals 12:3. As you can see they manage to concede only 3 goals for 7 rounds what proves that they have best defence in league. Last match at home they won 2:1 against Club Brugge, match where Standard totaly dominated. They have great attackers and great defence, I think they will not concede goal tonight and will give 2 for sure. They have just one missing for tonight but not so important.

On other side Mechel isn't near team from last season. They don't have play, they don't have results, the have score 1-2-4 away ad 8:18 goal diference. Last match they lost against gent 6:2. It will be hard season for Mechelen.

Last 4 games when Standard was host

Standrad - Mechelen 3:0

Standrad - Mechelen 2:0

Standrad - Mechelen 3:0

Standrad - Mechelen 4:1

Expect same picture tonight...

Pick #12 (5-3-3) +170units

Trabzon - Inter

Tip : W2 (DNB 2)

Odd : 2.00

FT : 1:1 Void

There is nothing special to say about this match and this bet, everything is perfect clear, Inter just CAN'T lose today, it is true that they need just 1pts but they will probably try to score and win, specially for revenge for defeat that Trbazon made them in Milano. Here is some fact's about match, and probable lines up...

Marek Cech failed to complete the 90 minutes on Friday, and is unlikely to feature against Claudio Ranieri's side. Serkan Balci will move back into defense, while Ondrej Celustka will shuffle across to left back to make up for the Slovakian's absence.

Inter is still without several defenders for the trip to Turkey, including Maicon and Yuto Nagatomo, but Christian Chivu is available again following his domestic suspension, while Lucio will return to the squad. Meanwhile, Wesley Sneijder is a confirmed absence for the trip to the Black Sea coast

Pick #11 (4-3-3) +95units

Independiente – LDU

Tip : 1

Odd : 2.30

FT : 2:0 WIN!!!

LDU travelled to this match with second team. They will play Copa Sudamericana ofr few days and they left all players at home. Odd already dropped from 2.70 to 2.30. We should take this!

Pick #10 (4-1-3) +95 units

Genoa - Levante

Tip : Genoa (-1) (Asian handicap)

Odd : 2.02

Bookmaker : Landbrokes

FT : 1:0 Void

Genoa is in a bad trend with only one match won in last six rounds ( 1-2-3), but this could be the right match to return to gain three points. Newcomer Novara is showing al his weakness with only one win in the championship and the second place from bottom with a balance of 1-4-5 12/19 ( worst defence in league). Novara comes from a run in which collected only two draws in last five matches, and in this poor run had a role some important absences. Also for this match they'll have the big injury problems, with regular keeper Ukjani that remains unavailable. But the problems are aggravated in defense, where will be out also defenders Lisuzzo ( 3) and Paci ( 10). Out also the skipper of the team, defensive midfielder Porcari ( 10 1 goal), banned for this match. Up front out striker Morimoto ( 6+2 2goals), second scorer of the team.

In spite of good result lately, Genoa remain undefeated at home ( 2-2-0). Also for Genoa some problem in defense with Kaladze (6) suspended and Dainelli (7) in doubt. Both teams with problems in defense and probably forced to put at the back some player out fo his natural role, so an high scoring match is possible, anyway i think that Genoa remain favourite for a win, also with more then one goal of difference, because Novara plays bad and has problems with attack and team for today match. Line -1 and odd is great for this match!!! 2:0 my call, GL!!!

Pick#9 (4-1-3) +95units

Atletico Madrid - Levante

Tip : Atletico (-1) (Asian handicap)

Odd : 2.25

Bookmaker : Pinnacle

FT : 3:2 Void

Atletico Madrid will face Levante trying to continue their good home record and to climb the table as they are 12th placed right now. Atletico is strong home side with 3-3-0 so far, as all of their wins here were with 2 or more goals difference. In their last home game they won over Zaragoza with 3:1. Before that Atletico shashed here Gijon and Santander with 4:0. Atletico is playing comfortable against Levante, as they got 3 straight wins over them at home, and 6 wins against them in their last 7 meetings, where they kept impressive 5 clean sheets. Last year Atletico won with 4:1 here. Falcao probably won't play tonight but they have perfect recover as Adrian played excelent in recent games. Levante started the season more than impressive but in their last 2 matches they showed their true face and lost both of them with 2:0 against Osasuna away from home and against Valencia at home. I expect them to continue falling.

I rate Atletico with class above Levante, and that standings is qute unrealistic IMO, so I see clear home win here.

Pick #8 (4-1-2) +195 units

Lyon - Rennes

Tip : 1

Odd : 1.87

Bookamker : Pinnacle

FT : 1:2 Lost

Have to say, I do quite like this bet. Rennes are a terrible mess right now. No doubt they've got some talented players, but it's just not happening for them. Manager Frederic Antonetti has had a wee bit of a bust-up with owner Patrice Le Lay, they are definitely without captain and best defender Kader Mangane, their most influential midfielder Yann Mvila is a serious doubt and their crop of young players look low on confidence. This isn't the best of times for them to be travelling to Lyon. Historically, they have a good record at the Stade Gerland, but Lyon have been in fine fettle this season at home. Only Real Madrid have beaten them and Ajaccio are the only domestic team to have taken a point from them, right at the start of the year. Lisandro Lopez has been out with a long-term injury but he may feature in this one. If he doesn't, Bafe Gomis has been in good form this year, while Yoann Gourcuff has shown signs of his form at Bordeaux now injury is behind him in the hole. Alexandre Lacazette is a bright prospect and should nullify the injury to Michel Bastos, while the defence has looked pretty secure at home. I think they have too much about them for Rennes, who are one of those teams laced with talent but blighted by defensive instability and also inconsistency. An argument could be made against Lyon due to their Champions League engagement on Tuesday, but they know the importance of winning this match, as they can't afford to slip further behind PSG at the top. Considering Rennes' wretched state and Lyon's strength at home, I'm happy to back them at odds that are much higher than they should be, by my calculations

Pick #7 (4-1-1) + 295 units

Ireland - Estonia

Tip : 3+ (over 2.5)

Odd : 2.05

Bookamker : 2.05

FT : 1:1 Lost

OMG!!! Thank you bookies, thank you a lot... Again the same match that was our last Premium tip, and now Ireland is host. I can't believe that we have this odd on this match, maybe I didn't watch same game as bookies did 4 days ago. Ireland demolished Estonia, it is truth that they had one player less, but still it is BIG BIG diference between these two teams. If you ask me Ireland will do the same thing tonight.

For Ireland Kevin Doyle (Wolves) served one match ban and he is in team, Duff (Fulham) had training and he is in too, Stephen Kely is out but O' Shea is fit and will replace him.

Estonia is in even worse situation then in previous match, their main players, main defenders, Raio Piiroja and Andrei Stepanov will miss tonights match because they are susspended. That is certainly BIG blow for Estonia, now thier defence will have even bigger problems to stop Irelands quick and very dangerous attackers. They are demoralised, they certainly don't have faith that they can turn things after result in first match, but they won't surender for sure, I even think that they can score tonight, maybe from some direct kick.

I will repeat again, Ireland is much better team, they have big number of great players from England Premier league , they have Trapattoni as coach, Aviva Stadium is already sold out, 82 500 supporters will be tonight, I think it will be very bad day for Estonia, 6:1 is my call!!! GL!

Pick #6 (3-1-1) +195 units

Estonia - Ireland

Tip : Ireland (-0.25) (Asian handicap)

Odd : 2.00

Bookamker : Landbrokes

FT : 0:4 WIN!!!

First match of play off for Euro 2012. My point of vew not just in betting then in life is that there must be some balance, so Ireland was stolen against France in last qulifications (we all know hand by Hunry) and now thing come back to them, they get easiest opponent they couold. I wont understimate Estonia, but Ireland is much better team. With all respect for Estonia but they had a lot of lucky to get here and this phase is historic for them, they wont be sad so much if they dont go through. On other side Ireland didn't play Euro from 1988 and this is great chance for them. They have excelent coach Trapattoni who lead this team few yers and can do a lot with them. Most of Ireland players play in England, and we all know how strong England league is, no metter Premier or Championship. They have Given (Aston Villa); Kelly (Fulham), Dunne (Aston Villa), St. Ledger (Leicester City), Ward (Wolves); Duff (Fulham), Whelan (Stoke City), Andrews (Ipswich Town), McGeady (Spartak Moscow); Keane (LA Galaxy), Cox (West Brom) or Walters (Stoke City). On other side Estonia have mediocre team and most they can achieved tonight is draw. I took this line -0.25 because of second leg, but for me this is straight AW, anyway this is safer option and excelent odd, 0:2 my call, GL!!!

P.S. For those who dont know rules about Asian handicap, line -0.25 means, if Ireland win, bet win, if Ireland play draw you lost half stake, and if lost you lost.

Pick #5 (3-0-1) + 195units

Velez - Santa Fe

Tip : Velez (-1) (Asian Handicap)

Odd : 1.90

Bookmaker : Landbrokes

FT : 3:2 Void

Second match in Copa Sudamericana between these two teams, first leg finished draw (1:1). In this competition home ground is BIG advantage, because of that Velez have big chance to go through. Their ambition is huge in this competetion, a lot of big teams are already out so this is chance for Velez to take title. They showed their ambition for Sudamericana as their coach Gareca rested few first team players (Sebastian Dominguez, Fabian Cubero and Augusto Fernandez) last round against Boca (1:1). Also great news for Velez is comeback of Juan Martinez and Victor Zapata, as very imortant players for Velez.

On other side Santa Fe will miss tonight their main creator Gerardo Bedoya as he got red card in previos match. Santa Fe have big number of injured players and they will bring only 17 players for tonights match.

If you ask me it is big deference first between leagues Argentina (Velez) and Columbia (Santa Fe) and then big diference between these two teams. With full stadium, fanatic support, bigger experience, better players, great coach, home field, I think Velez will celebrate, I decided not to take -1.5 then just -1 because they have good result from first match and they can easily win by one goal diference, but I think it will be 2:0 or 3:1, GL!!

Pick #4 (2-0-1) + 115 units

Salgueiro - Bragantino

Tip : 2

Odd : 1.80

Bookmaker : Interwetten

FT : 0:1 WIN!!!

This is the tip that we can't or must not miss. I would lie if I said that I know a lot of things about these two teams but I know enough. Just look at the table and everything is perfect clear. It is not just position then form and motivation. Well, Salgueiro already relegated. There is 4 round till the end of their league and they dont; have even teoretic chance, so they are already on vacation, they showed us that in last round when they lost 5:1. On other side we have Bragantino, team that are 1pts above place for play off. Like I said there is 4 rounds left and Bragantino MUST win if they want promotion. They won last round 6:2 !!! Also against already relegated Duque. I found some info's about Bragantino and they have really good squad, with Lincorn as their main striker, who already scored 18 goals. I think this is a gift and I was thinking all day should we take it with handicap or not?! But I decided to take just AW because there is small number of games and if we take even 80 units today I will be satisfied. But still thinkthat will be with handicap, 1:4, GL!!!

Pick #3 (1-0-1) -10units

Targu Mures - Rapid Bucharest

Tip : Bucharest (-1) (Asian ahndicap)

Odd : 2.25

Bookmaker : Pinnacle

FT : 0:2 WIN!!!

After losing on Thursday in Poland at Legia Warsaw, Rapid Bucharest can now concentrate only on the league as they have no chance of making it to the further stages of Europa League. Anyway, the team is not affected by this and the owner declared that he is very satisfied with the job done by Razvan Lucescu and the players.

FCM Targu Mures is struggling in the first league with only 8 points from 12 games. Team hasn't won since 4th round when they got their only win this season. They have problems with inconsistency and now they have appointed their 3rd coack this season. Italian coach Trombetta took the team 2 days ago after Selymes resigned after the loss at Vaslui 0-4 due to the fact that the players haven't received any payment for 4 months.

Rapid is 3rd in the league and with a win tonight they can approach leaders Dinamo by only two points. Unfortunately for them they have a long list of unavailables. Herea was injured on thursdat while Alexa, Ezequias, Rui Duarte are suspended for cards. Furthermore they will have to start with their second goal keeper again because Coman isn't fit yet.

I am expecting a game controlled by Rapid which I think will be happy with one or two goals

P.S. For those who don't know rules about Asian handicap, if Bucharest win by 2 goals then tip WIN, if win by 1 goal diference then your stake will be refund, if Bucharest play draw or lose then tip lost.

Pick #2 (0-0-1) -100units

Aston Villa - Norwich

Tip : 1

Odd : 1.90

Bookamker : Pinnacle

FT : 3:2 WIN!!!

This is an interesting one because Villa have just hit the buffers a bit after their good start.

Norwich, as I've said before, have coped really well with adjusting to life in the top flight and there is nothing wrong with their team spirit judging by their fightback to draw against Blackburn last weekend in a game they probably should have lost.

But I'm going to go for a home win for Villa because, although they are not playing particularly well right now, I think they might just have a bit too much firepower for the Canaries to deal with.

Villa have taken only one point from their last three games and have slid down the table a bit but I don't think their slump will become a permanent one. They have got a good manager in Alex McLeish and some good players like Petrov, Agbonlahor, Bent, Jermain Jenas. They will bounce back and they will be fine. My cal is 2:1. GL!